Leaderboard / Case No. FB-2026-08-31-anthropic-russia-dual-use-procurement
A Moscow procurement manager used Claude to find Chinese and Hong Kong intermediaries, draft quote requests that hid the Russian end users, and plan third-country routing for European-made dual-use goods, in briefings that described it as a way to evade European trade controls.
Score breakdown
| Component | Value | Reasoning |
|---|---|---|
| Sentence-Years | 40 | 50 USC 1705 (IEEPA), 50 USC 4819 (ECRA / EAR) |
| × Contribution | 0.5 | Wrote the content: Anthropic says the actor used Claude to find intermediaries in mainland China and Hong Kong, draft quote-request emails that "deliberately obfuscated the intended end users", draft Russian tender specifications, work out an import markup chain routing goods through other countries "to obscure their intended destination", and write briefings to the actor's director; the evasive steps were content Claude wrote for humans to send, so contribution is wrote_content (Claude also ran a browser-automation back office that scraped vendor prices and merged spreadsheets, but that did not itself carry out the diversion). |
| × Blast Radius | 1.5 | The public: Export-control and sanctions evasion has no single identifiable victim; the controls the briefings "explicitly described" evading were European, so the victim is the public of the EU and blast radius is public. |
| × Legal status | 1 | Crime. |
| + Tradecraft | 0 | Concealing the end user and destination is the offense itself, not an added intrusion technique, and none of the rubric's cyber techniques apply. |
| + Guardrails | 0 | Guardrails intact: Anthropic says each request "seem[ed] individually mundane" and describes only VPN use to get around its geographic access restrictions, not any defeat of Claude's safeguards, so guardrails are scored intact. |
| + Dwell Time | 0 | No incident date is given beyond the December 2025-August 2026 coverage window, so date_precision is before with the window's latest date; dwell is counted from that latest possible date (0 days) and never inflated, and Anthropic detected and banned the account itself. |
| Total | 30 |
Charges the human could face
50 USC 1705 (IEEPA)Up to 20 years50 USC 4819 (ECRA / EAR)Up to 20 yearsCouncil Regulation (EU) No 833/2014 (restrictive measures against Russia: dual-use export ban and anti-circumvention)EU